Suppose you want to start a business and you do not have a penny, the first thing to do is to ask the bank for a loan. The economists are ready to bet that without credit, without bonds and without financial instruments, the growth would be impossible today. We try to put the turbo to the economy to create wealth and jobs. After all, it’s by credit the society usually exit a crisis. But has someone ever asked what are the long-term consequences? A powerful medicine can cure a patient, but an abuse can kill him.
An example will make it clear: suppose in a small country there are only 100 dollars and the citizens begin to lend to each other. When the loans amount to 100 dollars, they have to pay back even 10 dollars of interests, 110 in total. Where do they take the 10 dollars of interests to pay off the debts, if they do not exist?
The problem has apparently no solution. In theory, as you can knot a rope, you can melt it, repeating the process in reverse order. In practice, interests continue to increase, until you pass the point of no-return. At that point, any action to restart the market does nothing but tangle even more the rope. Not only citizens, but also countries have fallen in the trap.
The matter is even more wicked, when we consider the borrowed money is literally created by banks. I’m not the one who say this and for confirmation you have just to connect to the Swiss National Bank’s website, where the mechanism is explained in a clear way: “The banks receive the savers’ money and lend it to debtors. With this activity, as traders of credit, banks create new money. ” (Http://www.snb.ch/i/welt/portrait/banks/4.html) [1] Later there’s an example: “The bank lends 16,000 of the 20,000 francs the saver paid. That amount is credited to the account of the company. What does this mean for the amount of money? The saver account record 20,000 francs yet; the debtor company 16,000 francs. The amount of money therefore increased by 16,000 francs.”
It looks like the multiplication of the loaves and fishes, but it’s the way the economic system works. Of course, as it can be created, the currency can be destroyed when the loan is paid.
However, the process can be repeated endlessly. The recipient of the loan will pay a car dealer and him will turn to the bank to deposit. The bank then will be able to lend this new created money. The only constraint is the fractional reserve banking, which requires banks to maintain a minimum percentage of assets readily convertible into cash.
The money supply increases and decreases. When it increases, at constant GDP, we experience inflation. If you have 5 apples and 5 dollars, the price per unit is one dollar; and when the dollars double, the price per unit doubles too.
What is the effect of all this on the society? A bottom does not exists, the only way out is more debt, in a vicious circle with no end. The first negative effect is the increase of costs, determined by the interests, so the producers increase the prices. The formula of interest is completely disarticulated from the real market and theoretically unlimited; new credit is put on the market to cover the interests, with the production of new debt. This process may continue indefinitely. The inflation we usually experience is in fact based on a perverse mechanism of monetary shortage. It’s like we have five apples and ten dollars, but the apples, by a strange witchcraft, instead of costing two dollars cost three. The apples are there, but not everyone can buy them.
The additional costs of the interests (whether bank loans or bonds) force companies to cut costs. This explains the poor quality products that break just after the purchase, the use of dangerous but cheap chemicals, the exploitation of personnel, the unpaid overtime, the impossible working hours, the precarious jobs, the relocation to Asia, the employment of illegal immigrants, the cuts of personnel, etc.
The economy is braked and the consumption decreases. This means that companies produce less and are forced to lay off more personnel. Always less job and more crisis follow each other in a vicious circle. So the society is “drugged”, by injecting a little more credit (lowering the interest rates or otherwise) and the economy starts again. But the next crisis is even worse and this time the society must be “drugged” even more to keep it afloat. Does this sound familiar to you?
Obviously in a society where the job is scarce, the companies hold the knife on the side of the handle and can impose all sorts of bad conditions to the workers, who then are scared to express their rights.
Now, if the interests are a cost, what about taxes? Even them, when excessive, brake the economy. But they tend to become higher particularly when the debt is out of control. It is estimated that 22 percent of italian taxes are used to pay the interests on the debt, a figure that is around 80 billions a year. [2]
It could be argued that taxes to pay the debt are not an effective brake, because that money come back into our pockets through public bonds. Sure, but the problem arises when you add a cost to those who produce and a reward to those who speculate, generating money from other money, through stocks made of paper. And are the incentives to drive the economy.
Oppressed by debt, the government reduces the spending: that means less production or cutting funds to public services and schools, cutting pensions, leaving roads and bridges fall to pieces, or privatizing the public properties by selling them out. The industries, oppressed by tax authorities, evade and hire unreported workers. The government then further increases the taxes, halting the production even more. How can the economy work?
The economy needs to produce not only for itself but also to cover the additional, parasitic costs. It’s beginning to emerge a fundamental law of the nature:
“The additional costs (such as the interests) are the main obstacle in the economy”.
Have you ever wondered why they insist so much on the perpetual growth? Because if the GDP stops growing, it’s not possible to pay the interests and for a domino effect the society as a whole collapses into a deep crisis.
The medicine is of course a powerful drug called credit. The economy gets up again and starts rushing headlong. The next time it will need a larger quantity of it, and then one even greater. Like any medicine, it may control symptoms, but a prolonged use may expose to dangerous long term side effects. At the end, the real cancer results to be the antidote itself.
The first side effect is the increase of the prices, the second the decrease of the wages purchasing power. But if the prices increase, the wages should increase too, otherwise who buy? The problem is that increasing the costs cause both these effects, apparently in antithesis. Economics teaches us the inflation is proportional to the increase of money supply, at the same production level. But the process has been inverted: instead of increasing the salaries, which would drive up prices through increased demand, the firsts to rise are the costs, forcing the companies to raise the prices not to loose their money. At the same time they cut the wages, which are nothing but a cost.
To have stable prices, the money supply should be proportional to the production. This never happens, because the only way to pay the debts is to create new ones. All the money is issued by debt and the inevitable consequence is the inflation.
The cycle is inverted: it’s not the production to determine the money to be created, they first create the money and then try to restart the production. Since this process is based on debt, in the long run it will stop the economy. It cause the singular situation in which the money is scarce, but the prices continue to rise: the so-called stagflation.
Ignoring this mechanism, they ask us to cunsume more in the attempt to start the economy again, which is a bit like asking a dumb to speak more. Nobody asks himself whether we consume to produce or we produce to consume. It’s, once again, about understanding the function of money: a means, not an end. To say the money is not sufficient is like to say there is a lack of miles to build roads. But the goal of those in power is precisely to create scarcity, so the money becomes a tool to control rather than a means to distribute resources and wealth according to the merits.
Why can’t the companies produce more right away? They have unemployed labor to employ, a lot of customers who want to consume more, a management who set forth only profits and expansion. Who is stopping them? The answer is in the money itself. The system doesn’t work, otherwise we wouldn’t be taking each other for a ride. We keep saying that the things can not be made because there is no money, but in a normal world the things can’t be done when you can’t produce more. The limit against which we fight every day doesn’t exist, it’s only an illusion designed to control us! This is because the money is no longer ours, it became property of the banks, that create and loan it to us.
The deception continued for so long that it has been lost any grip on reality. For every dollar in circulation, there are 4.4 dollar of debt [3]; a mountain of interests, sometimes even calculated on the interests themselves. This is a favour in the short term but a fraud in the long term. It is easy to show how a dollar lent in the 1500, now amount to a so large debt that the weight of Earth in gold wouldn’t be enough to pay it. The First and the Second World War wouldn’t have been possible without the uncontrolled printing of money, the war machine would have soon been jammed; it isn’t certainly a coincidence the First War happened in the 1914, one year after the birth of the Federal Reserve.
This is only one side of the coin, the other is even lowest and more hidden.